Entries for the 'Assessing the Local Market' Category

MARKET DATA FOR COMFORT TEXAS: February was a good month!

Real estate sales in Comfort, Texas during February were stronger than last year’s figures.   There were 3 sales totaling just under $1.4 million which compares with 6 sales totaling  just under $1.2 million during February 2008.

comfortjanfeb

Two of the 3 sales were properties greater than 25 acres.  In a rural area such as Comfort, properties with large acreages generally make up a large portion of the overall sales figures.  Hopefully last month’s results indicates a change in the trend as sales of large acreages were off during most of 2008.

We are generally optimistic about Comfort for 2009.  Several new “tourist destinations” are expected to make their home in the Comfort area … which should help the overall economy and the appeal of the area.  Also, we believe the trend toward “small town” living will continue.  Many people believe that Comfort is the first “true” small town in the Hill Country outside of San Antonio … so it has great appeal to those looking for that quaint, “All American”, small town feel.

The Hill Country is a great place to live … So, if Comfort is what you’re looking for, give us a call.  We’d love to help you find your “Hill Country Dream Home.”

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PRICEY HOME SALES IN BOERNE CONTRIBUTED TO STELLAR SALES FIGURES FOR JANUARY & FEBRUARY

Four home sales totaling $7.1 Million contributed to better than average sales figures for the Boerne area during the months of January and February.  One might actually use the word, “STELLAR”  if comparing these statistics with the national market .

boerne-janfeb1

All in all, there were a total of 40 sales that amounted to $17 Million during the months of January and February as compared with 59 sales totalling $18.7 Million during the same time period the previous year.

Based on these figures, it appears that the Boerne market may be on the road to recovery.  Good news for anyone that has been sitting on the fence waiting for the market to recover before placing their home on the market.  If that’s you, give us a call and we’d be happy to give you a free market analysis for your home.

And, if you are interested in buying in the Boerne area, we’d love to represent you. Our number is 830-995-2511.

Our encouragement to you in this market:  Get good advice! Move in peace! Live in Freedom!

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The Kerrville Real Estate Market Faring Much Like Wall Street

On Monday, the Dow Jones industrial average fell to 6,763 — the lowest close for the Dow since April, 1997. The 300-point drop Monday leaves the index more than 52 percent below its record high of 14,164.53 set in October 2007.

The Texas Hill Country real estate market, while still doing better than the national market, is experiencing a similar decline as that of Wall Street.  Kerrville, Texas Real Estate Sales in January & February 2009 totaled just $7.67 million, equivalent to just 46.7% of  last year’s sales.

kerrville-janfeb

It is commonly understood that in an unstable environment, “Big Ticket Items” get hit the worste.  People delay purchases … especially big ones until they feel more certain about the future. Real Estate certainly is one of the “Big Ticket Items” that is suffering in the current economic environment.

What will it take to create a more certain future?  I imagine just time.  In our opinion, the real estate market, like the stock  market, was due a “correction.”  People get caught up in the frenzy and make unwise decisions … not based on fundamentals.  The good side to a correction is people start making sensible decisions about how they spend their money. And, the ones that don’t OVERREACT can seize opportunities.  When the market is down, deals can be found more easily!

The good news is that, historically, real estate has been one of the best places to invest money in uncertain times.  Real estate is a “real” asset … meaning it is a tangible, real asset … It can’t be taken away … It’s not just on paper!

We believe that it is time for many who have lost money in the stock market to consider investing in real estate.

The Texas Hill Country is still one of the best places in the country to invest.  Tourism and retail sales are still strong.

Our encouragement to you is:  Live fully and yet wisely!  And keep the long term perspective!

We’d love to help you find your Hill Country dream home! Give us a call at 830-995-2511.

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REAL ESTATE SALES – ARE WE PAYING TOO CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE WAY SALES “BOB UP AND DOWN”? FREDERICKSBURG TEXAS JANUARY & FEBRUARY 2009 RESULTS

President Barack Obama said on Tuesday that paying too close attention to how Wall Street “bobs up and down” could lead to bad long-term policy. “What I’m looking at is not the day-to-day gyrations of the stock market, but the long-term ability of the United States … to regain its footing.”

The same may be true when looking at real estate sales in Fredericksburg, Texas which were WAY down in January and February … just 33% of the previous year’s figures*.  Sounds horrible?  Should you run from this market?

fredericksburg-janfeb

It would seem to be a paradox … but Fredericksburg actually is thriving this year!

Pass through the town any day of the week, especially on weekends and you’ll see a city that is booming.  Tourists galore!

Doesn’t quite fit with the real estate numbers?  Well, go figure!

What we are hearing from the retailers in Fredericksburg is that sales are up!  More people! And they’re still spending!

What’s happening is that, instead of taking trips to Europe, the Carribean, and other exotic places, people in Texas are taking small trips within the state … and Fredericksburg, still characterized by its German heritage,  is a huge draw to the local tourists.  Close to Austin, within driving distance of Dallas and Houston, and “smack dab in the middle of the Texas Hill Country,” people are taking weekend and extended visits to the Fredericksburg area.

Our feeling is that many of those tourists will take note of this quaint Texas town and, once optimism returns, will resume real estate purchases there.

Given that outlook, right now would be a prime opportunity to get into this market.  Buyers are getting better deals than they have been in a long time!  Give us a call if this interests you.  We’d love to help you find your Hill Country dream home or ranch.

Our encouragement to you:  Live life fully and yet wisely!  And keep a long term perspective!

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*Also, keep in mind that a large portion of Fredericksburg real estate sales are large acreages and ranches.  Just a few ranch sales can make up a large portion of the overall sales figures and a decrease in the number of ranch sales can make the picture look worse than it actually is.

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“Texas is somewhat insulated from the nation’s economic problems” – Per Texas Comptroller

Here’s an interesting article posted by the West Kerr Current:

Texas Economy in Better Shape Than Most States’, says State Comptroller
By Clint Schroeder

West Kerr Current

Texas Comptroller Susan Combs told a group of Kerr County residents Friday that Texas is in far better economic shape than most states, but won’t come through the current crisis completely unscathed.

Combs, speaking at the YO Ranch Resort Hotel and Conference Center in Kerrville, made her case.

“Texas is honestly, truly different, and I’m not being a Pollyanna,” she said.

Combs said the state diversified its economy after the crisis in the oil and gas industry here in the early to mid-1980s.

“We lost a couple of hundred thousand jobs and we had had overpriced housing, we had a housing bubble,” she said. “We went through all of that, and I think basically everybody said, ‘Never again!’

“Our state now is the second most diverse by economic measures in the country, second to California, and we are more diverse as an economy than Canada or Mexico,” she said.

As a result, Texas is somewhat insulated from the nation’s economic problems.

“I kind of like to say if the country is having pneumonia, we may have a case of the sniffles but we are not going to be in deep trouble,” Combs said.

She pointed out that Texas never got the overheated housing prices and didn’t get into subprime mortgages.

“We did not get crazy, and our community banks by and large have been absolute stalwarts,” she said. “They have done well, obeyed the rules.”

About one of 1,200 homes in Texas face foreclosure, she said, compared to one in 76 in Nevada or one in 200 in Florida.

“It’s all absolutely attributable to their nutty, insane housing prices. We have not done that,” she said.

Combs also said sales taxes have been a “rocket ship,” with 12 percent increases in recent years, sliding to 10.9 percent and last year to 6 percent. She is projecting 2.9 percent for the next biennium.

“You’re going to see sales tax increases decline,” she said. “People just aren’t going to be shopping as much. If you are in a somewhat struggling small sales business, it may be tough for you.”

High-end food enterprises will have a tougher time, she said, and people will move to general merchandise instead of specialty stores.

She also noted the state has lost jobs, about 27,000 in December, an abrupt change from creating 10,000 jobs a month — and that after generally creating 20,000 new jobs a month.

“I expect us to see a tough job time in Texas through the first two quarters of the year, which will take us through June, leveling out July-August, then picking back up again,” she said.

Combs said job losses could come in construction, which has slowed down both in residential and commercial sectors. Dallas could be hit in the financial sector, and Austin in high tech.

“I think it’s going to be relatively shallow in scope and relatively short-lived duration,” Combs said. “I know some people have already experienced some trouble starting two or three months ago, but the state of our economy is nonetheless so robust.”

She added that Texas is doing better than other places because, “We’re smarter. Unlike other states, we don’t think you can get something for nothing. We are really well grounded in standard economics.”

Combs credited legislators with the state government being in good financial shape.

“Your state government did not get nuts,” she said. “Your state government did not go on a spending spree. Your state government did not encumber all of your future assets, so that’s been very, very important to the state.”

She said the state has about $2 billion in surplus funds available, $3 billion in the property tax relief fund and $6.7 billion in “rainy day funds” from the oil and gas severance tax established in the 1980s.

“I don’t know what they’ll (legislators) do, but they’re not going to be a California where they can’t pay their bills,” she said, adding the state doesn’t allow deficit spending.

“I want to commend them for their consistently conservative view,” she said.

Combs also called attention to new information available on the comptroller’s office website. One called “Where the Money Goes” details where every state dollar is spent and which is refreshed every 24 hours.

There also is TxSmartBuy.com, a site where local and state governments can make purchases using the state’s buying power to obtain the best value.

“We want to make it easy for all the engines of taxpayer money to be the most efficiently spent,” she said.

Kerr County Judge Pat Tinley introduced Combs, who is from a West Texas ranching family. She was educated at Vassar, spent time on Wall Street, and earned a law degree from the University of Texas.

She served in the Texas House for two terms, working on property rights legislation, was an assistant district attorney in Dallas County, took office in 1998 as Texas agriculture commissioner and was elected Texas comptroller in 2006.

If you are looking to relocate and wanted to know where to move, there you have it!   We’d love to help you find your Hill Country home!  Give us a call 830-995-2511.

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Kendall County December Jobless Rate Down – Hooray for Good News!

According to a Boerne Star article, Kendall County’s unemployment rate decreased in December according to labor market statistics released by Workforce Solutions Alamo.  The county’s jobless rate for the month was 4.3 percent, down from 4.5 percent reported in November.

For full article, Click Here

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Wonder Where the Stimulus Funds Will Go? Kerr County Seeks Funds – Article, MySA.com

Will the Government Stimulus Plan help the Texas Hill Country economy?  Kerr County is seeking to get its hand in the government’s bag.  Here’s an article from MySa.com on the subject:

Kerr Seeks Stimulus Funds

KERRVILLE — Kerr County Commissioners on Monday proposed about $25 million in capital improvement projects to be considered for funding in the federal economic stimulus package that’s taking shape.

A $6 million expansion and upgrade of the Hill Country Youth Exhibit Center topped the prioritized list prepared at the request of U.S. Rep. Lamar Smith, R-San Antonio.

About $600,000 is needed to install high-pressure water pipes to the city-county airport on Texas 27 to cure firefighting readiness problems that have stymied new development there.

Next is $13 million to install sewer pipes in Center Point to be connected to a treatment plant in Comfort or Kerrville.

“We’re talking about pumping poo-poo here and it being part of a federal stimulus program,” mused Commissioner Buster Baldwin. “It fits.”

Commissioners also want $300,000 to repair dams at Ingram Lake and Flatrock Lake, and $5 million to replace bridges, through the Texas Department of Transportation

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Slow Down in Kendall County Development – Boerne Star Article

Our goal is to keep you up-to-date with the latest information about the Hill Country economy.

The Boerne Star reported that development activity in the county in 2008 was down about 40 percent from 2007. Kendall County Development Manager Rick Tobolka told Kendall County Commissioners on Monday, ‘We are continuing to grow, but things have slowed down from last year’ .  For the full article:

Development Down 40 percent in County, James Kiehl River Bend Park on Schedule for Spring Opening

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Finally! Some Good News About The Local Economy – Boerne Star Article

Here’s an encouraging article from the Boerne Star about the local economy:

Despite economic woes, local sales tax collections show improvement

Published: Friday, January 16, 2009 1:05 AM CST

Despite concerns over a weakening national economy, sales tax collections in Boerne and Kendall County showed growth in November.

Sales tax collections for November were up 17 percent in Boerne and 14.7 percent in Kendall County. Tax revenue on November sales is collected by the state in December and then allocations were sent last week to local governments.

Boerne received $358,972 in tax revenue from November sales. Kendall County’s allocation was $167,528.

“State sales tax collections have grown 3.9 percent for the first four months of state fiscal year 2009,” said Comptroller Susan Combs. “Growth in overall collections has slowed compared to recent years, while remittances from key sectors such as construction and retail trade have declined.”

Combs sent cities, counties, transit systems and special purpose taxing districts their first sales tax allocations of 2009 �” $459.2 million, up 2.4 percent compared to January 2008.

Combs sent January sales tax allocations of $309.9 million to Texas cities, up 2.2 percent compared to January 2008. Texas counties received sales tax payments of $29 million, up 8.2 percent compared to last January.

In addition, $18.3 million went to 148 special purpose taxing districts around the state, up 23.5 percent compared to last January. Ten metropolitan transit systems received $101.9 million in sales tax allocations, down 1.4 percent compared to a year ago.

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BEGINNING THE YEAR ON SOME POSITIVE NOTES DESPITE 2008 REAL ESTATE SALES FIGURES – COMFORT, TEXAS

Total sales in Comfort, Texas for the entire year of 2008 were just under $8.4 Million, down $6 million (58% of the previous year’s figure). 2007 sales amounted to $14.4 million.

Upon analysis of the sales figures, here are a few interesting observations:

1. The number of sales in each category declined with Lots & Acreage having the steepest decline.

2. The average sales price declined in all categories except for Commercial. This would indicate EITHER that overall prices are being adjusted given market conditions or people are generally buying lower priced homes and properties. My feeling is that the latter is correct.

3. Last List Price/Ultimate Sales Price (e.g., the amount negotiated off the list price) was 93% for both years … meaning that a decrease in total sales has not equated to an increase in negotiations on price by the time the two parties get to the negotiating table.

Obviously, 2007 was not a good year in terms of Comfort, Texas real estate sales.

Normally, the new year tends to bring a re-start in terms of optimism. There are several new properties on the market and we have noticed in increase in activity (especially since the election). Gas prices have decreased and that re-opens the door for commuters who want to be in a small town but not too far from San Antonio. Tourism is this area has continued to be strong. There are a few new businesses that are opening their doors and we have heard of several new with plans for the future. Optimism and creative thinking is what is needed in this climate. We’d love to help you find what you are looking for. Give us a call at 830-995-2511 and we can talk about your needs in 2009.

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